Using Fibonacci Retracements
Many traders and investors use Fibonacci ratios to project future levels of support and resistance calculated on previous price moves in forex markets. In simple words, past price movements in the forex market determine where the Fibonacci levels will be calculated.
Fibonacci analysis is used in determining and identifying the support and resistance levels during both the trend retracement and the trend continuations. It is based on a number of ratios derived from the Fibonacci sequence. This interesting and remarkable sequence was discovered by an Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano in the 13th century.
The sequence begins with 0, 1 and 1. The next number in the sequence is obtained by adding the previous two numbers. For example, take the first two numbers 0 &1; the next number will be 0+1=1. Take the next two recent numbers, 1 & 1; the next number will be 1+1=2. So the Fibonacci sequence looks like this: 0,1,1,2,3,5,8,13,21,34,55.
The fascinating and interesting property about this sequence is that the ratio of numbers at specified intervals is consistently the same, no matter how high you go in the sequence. We get two very important ratios. These two ratios appear over and over again in nature such as pine cones, shells, sunflowers etc. These two important ratios are also used in currency markets.
The first important ratio is 38.2% calculated by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the number two places higher in the sequence. In the above Fibonacci sequence, 55 is two places higher than 21. Divide 21 by 55you get 21/55=38.2%.
The second important ratio is 61.8% obtained by dividing any number in the Fibonacci sequence by the next number in the sequence. For example, divide 34 by 55 (the next number), you get 34/54=61.8%.
Trends in forex markets dont go in the straight line. Uptrends never go straight up and downtrends never go straight down. The price will always trace along the way as buyers and sellers enter and exit the markets. The important question in every forex traders mind is how far these retracements will penetrate into the previous movement. This is where the Fibonacci ratios become useful.
Most investors use the three additional ratios of 0%, 50% and 100% in conjunction with the two primary Fibonacci ratios to round out the retracement analysis tools. Two secondary Fibonacci ratios (161.8% and 261.8%) are also used in the trend continuation projections. The secondary ratio 161.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the number preceding it. In the sequence dividing 55 by 34 gives 55/34=161.8%. Similarly the ratio 261.8% is obtained by dividing any number in the sequence by the two numbers preceding it. Divide 55 by 21, you will get 55/21=261.8%.
Fibonacci ratios are used by currency traders and investors in making entry and exit decisions for each trade. The first ratio 38.2% is used as an entry point in a trending market. The ratio 0% is used as the exit point. The question that you may ask is what the reason markets react to these levels is. You should not forget currency markets are just investors and speculators buying and selling currencies. So if many investors and speculators start believing in a thing, it starts becoming a self fulfilling prophecy. As most of the investors use Fibonacci analysis in determining the support and resistance and placing there entry and exit orders based on these ratios, the markets starts reacting to these levels.
